Santiago Wanderers x San Marcos De Arica Betting tips for September 29 in Chile Primera B

Our betting tip for Santiago Wanderers x San Marcos De Arica, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 15:00

Santiago Wanderers 2.00

X 3.15

San Marcos De Arica 3.36

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Santiago Wanderers x San Marcos De Arica:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Santiago Wanderers x San Marcos De Arica

Important information for your tip for Santiago Wanderers x San Marcos De Arica: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Santiago Wanderers in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-110.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on San Marcos De Arica in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-240.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Santiago Wanderers scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against San Marcos De Arica, Santiago Wanderers scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 San Marcos De Arica matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Santiago Wanderers conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against San Marcos De Arica. 👉 Santiago Wanderers has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against San Marcos De Arica playing at home.

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Analysis from Santiago Wanderers x San Marcos De Arica for the Chile Primera B – 29 of September

When the best bet on Santiago Wanderers x San Marcos De Arica is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Santiago Wanderers x San Marcos De Arica

Is it worth betting on Santiago Wanderers?

🔵 Santiago Wanderers: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $490.00
• And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$20.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $623.50
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$86.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on San Marcos De Arica?

🔴 San Marcos De Arica: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $542.80;
• And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$227.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Santiago Wanderers x San Marcos De Arica

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Santiago Wanderers
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Santiago Wanderers x San Marcos De Arica

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Santiago Wanderers and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Santiago Wanderers.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Santiago Wanderers.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Santiago Wanderers x San Marcos De Arica

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.