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Home » Predictions » Others » AEK Athens x Panathinaikos Betting tips for September 29 in Greece Super League 1
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 15h30 Greece Super League 1
AEK Athens AEK Athens
PREDICTION AEK Athens wins Probability 71% 1 X 2
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
ODD: @1.79 Don't miss this prediction!

AEK Athens x Panathinaikos Betting tips for September 29 in Greece Super League 1

Our betting tip for AEK Athens x Panathinaikos, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
15:30
AEK Athens AEK Athens
1.79
X
3.60
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
4.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for AEK Athens x Panathinaikos:

🔮 AEK Athens wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AEK Athens, you can win up to $895.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for AEK Athens x Panathinaikos:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AEK Athens in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-43.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Panathinaikos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $150.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, AEK Athens scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 AEK Athens has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Panathinaikos playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on AEK Athens x Panathinaikos?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on AEK Athens x Panathinaikos:

Analysis from AEK Athens x Panathinaikos for the Greece Super League 1 – 29 of September

🏟️ AEK Athens X Panathinaikos – Greece Super League 1
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 15:30
🔵 AEK Athens – Winning probability: 71.84% | Fair line: 1.39
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.76% | Fair line: 6.35
🔴 Panathinaikos – Winning probability: 12.40% | Fair line: 8.06
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 AEK Athens
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on AEK Athens x Panathinaikos is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AEK Athens x Panathinaikos

Is betting on AEK Athens worth it?

🔵 AEK Athens: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 71.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.79. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 720 times – this would give you a profit of $568.80
  • And would have lost other 280 times – with a loss of -$280.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$288.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $416.00
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$424.00.

Is it worth betting on Panathinaikos?

🔴 Panathinaikos: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $360.00
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$520.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AEK Athens x Panathinaikos

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 AEK Athens
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AEK Athens x Panathinaikos

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 AEK Athens, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 AEK Athens.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 AEK Athens.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AEK Athens x Panathinaikos

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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