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Home » Predictions » Others » CD Victoria x CD Marathon Betting tips for September 29 in Honduras Liga Nacional
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 18h00 Honduras Liga Nacional
CD Victoria CD Victoria
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 33% 1 X 2
CD Marathon CD Marathon
ODD: @3.4 Don't miss this prediction!

CD Victoria x CD Marathon Betting tips for September 29 in Honduras Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for CD Victoria x CD Marathon, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
18:00
CD Victoria CD Victoria
3.20
X
3.40
CD Marathon CD Marathon
1.99

Our algorithm has selected this tip for CD Victoria x CD Marathon:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for CD Victoria x CD Marathon:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Victoria in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $554.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Marathon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $140.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, CD Victoria scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between CD Victoria x CD Marathon, with CD Victoria as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 CD Victoria matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, CD Victoria conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from CD Victoria x CD Marathon for the Honduras Liga Nacional – 29 of September

🏟️ CD Victoria X CD Marathon – Honduras Liga Nacional
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 18:00
🔵 CD Victoria – Winning probability: 29.61% | Fair line: 3.38
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.14% | Fair line: 3.02
🔴 CD Marathon – Winning probability: 37.25% | Fair line: 2.68
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 CD Victoria
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on CD Victoria x CD Marathon is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1191083 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Victoria x CD Marathon

Should you bet on CD Victoria?

🔵 CD Victoria: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $660.00
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$40.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $792.00;
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$122.00.

Should you bet on CD Marathon?

🔴 CD Marathon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.99. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $366.30
  • And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$263.70.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Victoria x CD Marathon

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 CD Victoria
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Victoria x CD Marathon

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 CD Victoria, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 CD Victoria.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 CD Marathon.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Victoria x CD Marathon

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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