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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Mirassol x Sport Recife Betting tips for September 29 in Brazil Serie B
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 18h30 Brazil Serie B
Mirassol Mirassol
PREDICTION No tip
Sport Recife Sport Recife
Don't miss this prediction!

Mirassol x Sport Recife Betting tips for September 29 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Mirassol x Sport Recife, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
18:30
Mirassol Mirassol
2.25
X
2.90
Sport Recife Sport Recife
3.40

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Mirassol x Sport Recife:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Mirassol x Sport Recife

Some important points for the tip for Mirassol x Sport Recife:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Mirassol in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $80.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sport Recife in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $125.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Sport Recife scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 Sport Recife matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Sport Recife has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Mirassol x Sport Recife?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Mirassol x Sport Recife:

Analysis from Mirassol x Sport Recife for the Brazil Serie B – 29 of September

🏟️ Mirassol X Sport Recife – Brazil Serie B
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 18:30
πŸ”΅ Mirassol – Winning probability: 36.06% | Fair line: 2.77
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.18% | Fair line: 3.01
πŸ”΄ Sport Recife – Winning probability: 30.76% | Fair line: 3.25
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Mirassol
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mirassol x Sport Recife right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1191083 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Mirassol x Sport Recife

Is it a good idea to bet on Mirassol?

πŸ”΅ Mirassol: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $450.00;
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$190.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $627.00;
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$43.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sport Recife?

πŸ”΄ Sport Recife: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $744.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$54.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Mirassol x Sport Recife

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Mirassol
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mirassol x Sport Recife

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Mirassol and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Mirassol.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mirassol x Sport Recife

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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