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Home » Predictions » Others » Atletico Huila x Union Magdalena Betting tips for September 29 in Colombia Primera B
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 20h00 Colombia Primera B
Atletico Huila Atletico Huila
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 34% 1 X 2
Union Magdalena Union Magdalena
ODD: @3.16 Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico Huila x Union Magdalena Betting tips for September 29 in Colombia Primera B

Our betting tip for Atletico Huila x Union Magdalena, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
20:00
Atletico Huila Atletico Huila
2.26
X
3.16
Union Magdalena Union Magdalena
2.91

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Atletico Huila x Union Magdalena:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1580.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Atletico Huila x Union Magdalena:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Huila in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $75.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Magdalena in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $25.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Atletico Huila scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Union Magdalena, Atletico Huila scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Union Magdalena matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 Atletico Huila matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Atletico Huila is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Atletico Huila has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Union Magdalena playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Atletico Huila x Union Magdalena for the Colombia Primera B – 29 of September

🏟️ Atletico Huila X Union Magdalena – Colombia Primera B
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Atletico Huila – Winning probability: 39.07% | Fair line: 2.56
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.93% | Fair line: 2.86
🔴 Union Magdalena – Winning probability: 26.00% | Fair line: 3.85
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Atletico Huila
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Atletico Huila and Union Magdalena.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1191083 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Huila x Union Magdalena

Is betting on Atletico Huila worth it?

🔵 Atletico Huila: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.26. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $491.40
  • And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$118.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.16. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $756.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$106.00.

Should you bet on Union Magdalena?

🔴 Union Magdalena: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.91. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $496.60;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$243.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Huila x Union Magdalena

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Atletico Huila
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Huila x Union Magdalena

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Atletico Huila, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Atletico Huila.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Union Magdalena.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Huila x Union Magdalena

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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