Sporting San Miguelito x Herrera FC Betting tips for September 29 in Panama LPF

Our betting tip for Sporting San Miguelito x Herrera FC, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 20:15

Sporting San Miguelito 1.50

X 3.78

Herrera FC 5.58

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Sporting San Miguelito x Herrera FC:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Sporting San Miguelito x Herrera FC

The main points for the tip for Sporting San Miguelito x Herrera FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting San Miguelito in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $93.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Herrera FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Sporting San Miguelito scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Herrera FC, Sporting San Miguelito scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Sporting San Miguelito x Herrera FC, with Sporting San Miguelito as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Sporting San Miguelito conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Herrera FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Sporting San Miguelito has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Herrera FC playing at home.

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Analysis from Sporting San Miguelito x Herrera FC for the Panama LPF – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sporting San Miguelito x Herrera FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1191083 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sporting San Miguelito x Herrera FC

Is betting on Sporting San Miguelito worth it?

🔵 Sporting San Miguelito: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 580 times – profiting $290.00;
• And would have lost other 420 times – with a loss of -$420.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$130.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $778.40
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$58.40, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on Herrera FC?

🔴 Herrera FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.58. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $641.20
• And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$218.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Sporting San Miguelito x Herrera FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Sporting San Miguelito
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sporting San Miguelito x Herrera FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Sporting San Miguelito and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Sporting San Miguelito. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sporting San Miguelito x Herrera FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.