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Home » Predictions » Club America x Unam Pumas Betting tips for September 29 in Mexico Liga MX
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 21h00 Mexico Liga MX
Club America Club America
PREDICTION Club America wins Probability 59% 1 X 2
Unam Pumas Unam Pumas
ODD: @1.79 Don't miss this prediction!

Club America x Unam Pumas Betting tips for September 29 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Club America x Unam Pumas, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
21:00
Club America Club America
1.79
X
3.40
Unam Pumas Unam Pumas
4.27

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Club America x Unam Pumas:

🔮 Club America wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Club America, you can win up to $895.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Club America x Unam Pumas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Club America in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $25.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Unam Pumas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-210.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Unam Pumas, Club America scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Unam Pumas conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Unam Pumas as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Club America x Unam Pumas for the Mexico Liga MX – 29 of September

🏟️ Club America X Unam Pumas – Mexico Liga MX
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 21:00
🔵 Club America – Winning probability: 59.79% | Fair line: 1.67
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.17% | Fair line: 4.32
🔴 Unam Pumas – Winning probability: 17.04% | Fair line: 5.87
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Club America
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Club America and Unam Pumas.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1191083 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Club America x Unam Pumas

Is betting on Club America worth it?

🔵 Club America: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.79. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 600 times – profiting $474.00;
  • And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$74.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $552.00
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$218.00.

Should you bet on Unam Pumas?

🔴 Unam Pumas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.27. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $555.90;
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$274.10.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Club America x Unam Pumas

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Club America
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Club America x Unam Pumas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Club America and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Club America. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Club America x Unam Pumas

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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