Jeonnam Dragons x Bucheon Betting tips for September 30 in South Korea K League 2

Our betting tip for Jeonnam Dragons x Bucheon, Monday, 30/9/2024

📅 30/9/2024 07:30

Jeonnam Dragons 2.27

X 3.32

Bucheon 2.68

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Jeonnam Dragons x Bucheon:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Jeonnam Dragons x Bucheon

Important information for your tip for Jeonnam Dragons x Bucheon: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Jeonnam Dragons in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bucheon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $45.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Bucheon scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Bucheon, Jeonnam Dragons scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Jeonnam Dragons x Bucheon, with Jeonnam Dragons as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Bucheon matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Bucheon conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Jeonnam Dragons has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Bucheon playing at home.

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Analysis from Jeonnam Dragons x Bucheon for the South Korea K League 2 – 30 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Jeonnam Dragons x Bucheon right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1191189 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Jeonnam Dragons x Bucheon

Is it a good idea to bet on Jeonnam Dragons?

🔵 Jeonnam Dragons: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.27. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – profiting $431.80;
• And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$228.20.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $649.60;
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$70.40.

Should you bet on Bucheon?

🔴 Bucheon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.68. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 370 times – profiting $621.60;
• And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$8.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Jeonnam Dragons x Bucheon

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Jeonnam Dragons
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Jeonnam Dragons x Bucheon

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Jeonnam Dragons and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Jeonnam Dragons.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Bucheon.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Jeonnam Dragons x Bucheon

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.