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Home » Predictions » Others » IFK Goteborg x GAIS Betting tips for September 30 in Sweden Allsvenskan
Monday, 30 September 2024, 14h10 Sweden Allsvenskan
IFK Goteborg IFK Goteborg
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 33% 1 X 2
GAIS GAIS
ODD: @3.4 Don't miss this prediction!

IFK Goteborg x GAIS Betting tips for September 30 in Sweden Allsvenskan

Our betting tip for IFK Goteborg x GAIS, Monday, 30/9/2024
📅 30/9/2024
14:10
IFK Goteborg IFK Goteborg
2.42
X
3.40
GAIS GAIS
2.90

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for IFK Goteborg x GAIS:

🔮 Tied Match
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Important information for your tip for IFK Goteborg x GAIS:

👉 If you had bet $100 on IFK Goteborg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on GAIS in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $360.0.
👉 In the last 4 IFK Goteborg matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, IFK Goteborg conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, GAIS has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from IFK Goteborg x GAIS for the Sweden Allsvenskan – 30 of September

🏟️ IFK Goteborg X GAIS – Sweden Allsvenskan
📅 30 of September, 2024 – 14:10
🔵 IFK Goteborg – Winning probability: 31.71% | Fair line: 3.15
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.40% | Fair line: 2.99
🔴 GAIS – Winning probability: 34.89% | Fair line: 2.87
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 IFK Goteborg
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between IFK Goteborg and GAIS.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1191189 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for IFK Goteborg x GAIS

Is it a good idea to bet on IFK Goteborg?

🔵 IFK Goteborg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $454.40
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$225.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $792.00
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$122.00.

Should you bet on GAIS?

🔴 GAIS: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $665.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$15.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match IFK Goteborg x GAIS

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 IFK Goteborg
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for IFK Goteborg x GAIS

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 IFK Goteborg, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 IFK Goteborg. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for IFK Goteborg x GAIS

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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