Ajax Reserves x FC Dordrecht Betting tips for September 30 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie

Our betting tip for Ajax Reserves x FC Dordrecht, Monday, 30/9/2024

📅 30/9/2024 15:00

Ajax Reserves 2.21

X 3.70

FC Dordrecht 2.61

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Ajax Reserves x FC Dordrecht:

🔮 FC Dordrecht wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Dordrecht, you can win up to $1305.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Ajax Reserves x FC Dordrecht: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ajax Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Dordrecht in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-220.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against FC Dordrecht, Ajax Reserves scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Ajax Reserves x FC Dordrecht, with Ajax Reserves as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Ajax Reserves conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against FC Dordrecht.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Ajax Reserves x FC Dordrecht?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Ajax Reserves x FC Dordrecht:

Analysis from Ajax Reserves x FC Dordrecht for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 30 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ajax Reserves x FC Dordrecht right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1191189 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Ajax Reserves x FC Dordrecht

Is betting on Ajax Reserves worth it?

🔵 Ajax Reserves: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.21. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $338.80;
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$381.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $432.00
• And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$408.00.

Is it worth betting on FC Dordrecht?

🔴 FC Dordrecht: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 55.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.61. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 560 times – this would give you a profit of $901.60
• And would lose other 440 times – having a loss of -$440.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$461.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Ajax Reserves x FC Dordrecht

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Ajax Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ajax Reserves x FC Dordrecht

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Ajax Reserves, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Ajax Reserves.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ajax Reserves x FC Dordrecht

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.