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Home » Predictions » Others » Pescara x Carpi Betting tips for September 30 in Italy Serie C Group B
Monday, 30 September 2024, 15h45 Italy Serie C Group B
Pescara Pescara
PREDICTION Pescara wins Probability 81% 1 X 2
Carpi Carpi
ODD: @1.8 Don't miss this prediction!

Pescara x Carpi Betting tips for September 30 in Italy Serie C Group B

Our betting tip for Pescara x Carpi, Monday, 30/9/2024
📅 30/9/2024
15:45
Pescara Pescara
1.80
X
3.36
Carpi Carpi
3.86

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Pescara x Carpi:

🔮 Pescara wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Pescara, you can win up to $900.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Pescara x Carpi:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Pescara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-343.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Carpi in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Carpi scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Carpi conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Pescara x Carpi?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Pescara x Carpi, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Pescara x Carpi for the Italy Serie C Group B – 30 of September

🏟️ Pescara X Carpi – Italy Serie C Group B
📅 30 of September, 2024 – 15:45
🔵 Pescara – Winning probability: 81.17% | Fair line: 1.23
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.31% | Fair line: 8.12
🔴 Carpi – Winning probability: 6.53% | Fair line: 15.32
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Pescara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Pescara and Carpi.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1191189 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Pescara x Carpi

Is it worth betting on Pescara?

🔵 Pescara: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 81.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 810 times – this would give you a profit of $648.00
  • And would have lost other 190 times – with a loss of -$190.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$458.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $283.20;
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$596.80.

Should you bet on Carpi?

🔴 Carpi: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.86. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $200.20;
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$729.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Pescara x Carpi

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Pescara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pescara x Carpi

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Pescara and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Pescara.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Carpi.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pescara x Carpi

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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