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Home » Predictions » Others » US Pergolettese x ASD Caldiero Terme Betting tips for September 30 in Italy Serie C Group A
Monday, 30 September 2024, 15h45 Italy Serie C Group A
US Pergolettese US Pergolettese
PREDICTION No tip
ASD Caldiero Terme ASD Caldiero Terme
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US Pergolettese x ASD Caldiero Terme Betting tips for September 30 in Italy Serie C Group A

Our betting tip for US Pergolettese x ASD Caldiero Terme, Monday, 30/9/2024
📅 30/9/2024
15:45
US Pergolettese US Pergolettese
2.35
X
3.10
ASD Caldiero Terme ASD Caldiero Terme
2.80

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for US Pergolettese x ASD Caldiero Terme:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for US Pergolettese x ASD Caldiero Terme

Some important points for the tip for US Pergolettese x ASD Caldiero Terme:

👉 If you had bet $100 on US Pergolettese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-386.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on ASD Caldiero Terme in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $470.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, US Pergolettese conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on US Pergolettese x ASD Caldiero Terme?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on US Pergolettese x ASD Caldiero Terme, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from US Pergolettese x ASD Caldiero Terme for the Italy Serie C Group A – 30 of September

🏟️ US Pergolettese X ASD Caldiero Terme – Italy Serie C Group A
📅 30 of September, 2024 – 15:45
🔵 US Pergolettese – Winning probability: 42.59% | Fair line: 2.35
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.35% | Fair line: 2.83
🔴 ASD Caldiero Terme – Winning probability: 22.06% | Fair line: 4.53
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 US Pergolettese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for US Pergolettese x ASD Caldiero Terme right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1191189 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for US Pergolettese x ASD Caldiero Terme

Is betting on US Pergolettese worth it?

🔵 US Pergolettese: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – profiting $580.50;
  • And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$10.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $735.00;
  • And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$85.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on ASD Caldiero Terme?

🔴 ASD Caldiero Terme: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $396.00;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$384.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match US Pergolettese x ASD Caldiero Terme

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 US Pergolettese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for US Pergolettese x ASD Caldiero Terme

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 US Pergolettese and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 US Pergolettese.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 ASD Caldiero Terme.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for US Pergolettese x ASD Caldiero Terme

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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