Guarani x Avai Betting tips for September 30 in Brazil Serie B
| 📅 30/9/2024 21:30 |
 Guarani2.20 |
X 2.84 |
Avai  3.57 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Guarani x Avai:
🔮 Guarani wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Guarani, you can win up to $1100.00!
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Important information for your tip for Guarani x Avai: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Guarani in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $410.0. |
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Analysis from Guarani x Avai for the Brazil Serie B – 30 of September
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🏟️ Guarani X Avai – Brazil Serie B |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Guarani and Avai.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1192575 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Guarani x Avai
Is it a good idea to bet on Guarani?
🔵 Guarani: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 50.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
- And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$100.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.84. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $625.60;
- And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$34.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on Avai?
🔴 Avai: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.57. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $411.20;
- And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$428.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Guarani x Avai
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Guarani
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Guarani x Avai
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Guarani and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Guarani.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Guarani.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Guarani x Avai
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.
