Muranga Seal x Mara Sugar FC Betting tips for September 29 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Muranga Seal x Mara Sugar FC, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 09:00

Muranga Seal 2.36

X 2.82

Mara Sugar FC 3.10

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Muranga Seal x Mara Sugar FC:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Muranga Seal x Mara Sugar FC

Some important points for the tip for Muranga Seal x Mara Sugar FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Muranga Seal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Muranga Seal conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Muranga Seal x Mara Sugar FC for the Kenya Premier League – 29 of September

When the best bet on Muranga Seal x Mara Sugar FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Muranga Seal x Mara Sugar FC

Is it worth betting on Muranga Seal?

🔵 Muranga Seal: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 360 times – profiting $489.60;
• And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$150.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $637.00;
• And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$13.00.

Is betting on Mara Sugar FC worth it?

🔴 Mara Sugar FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $609.00;
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$101.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Muranga Seal x Mara Sugar FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Muranga Seal
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Muranga Seal x Mara Sugar FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Muranga Seal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Muranga Seal.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Mara Sugar FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Muranga Seal x Mara Sugar FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.