Asker x Mjondalen 2 Betting tips for September 29 in Norway Division 3 Group 3

Our betting tip for Asker x Mjondalen 2, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 10:00

Asker 1.03

X 15.00

Mjondalen 2 26.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Asker x Mjondalen 2:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Asker x Mjondalen 2

Some important points for the tip for Asker x Mjondalen 2: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Asker in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-24.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mjondalen 2 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 Mjondalen 2 matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Mjondalen 2 conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Mjondalen 2 as away team: it comes from 7 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Asker x Mjondalen 2 for the Norway Division 3 Group 3 – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Asker x Mjondalen 2 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Asker x Mjondalen 2

Is it a good idea to bet on Asker?

🔵 Asker: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 99.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.03. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 1000 times – this would give you a profit of $30.00
• And would have lost other 0 times – with a loss of -$0.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$30.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 15.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
• And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Is it worth betting on Mjondalen 2?

🔴 Mjondalen 2: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 26.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
• And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Asker x Mjondalen 2

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -4.75 Asker
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Asker x Mjondalen 2

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -4.75 Asker, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -3.75 Asker.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -1.00, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -3.75 Asker.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Asker x Mjondalen 2

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 4.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 4.75 goals.