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Home » Predictions » Toulouse Women x Marseille Women Betting tips for September 29 in France Division 2 Women
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 10h00 France Division 2 Women
Toulouse Women Toulouse Women
PREDICTION Marseille Women Wins Probability 66% 1 X 2
Marseille Women Marseille Women
ODD: @1.71 Don't miss this prediction!

Toulouse Women x Marseille Women Betting tips for September 29 in France Division 2 Women

Our betting tip for Toulouse Women x Marseille Women, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
10:00
Toulouse Women Toulouse Women
3.80
X
3.91
Marseille Women Marseille Women
1.71

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Toulouse Women x Marseille Women:

🔮 Marseille Women wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Marseille Women, you can win up to $855.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Toulouse Women x Marseille Women:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Toulouse Women in each of its last 3 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Marseille Women in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-193.0.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, Marseille Women scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Toulouse Women conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Marseille Women conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Marseille Women has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Toulouse Women x Marseille Women for the France Division 2 Women – 29 of September

🏟️ Toulouse Women X Marseille Women – France Division 2 Women
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 10:00
🔵 Toulouse Women – Winning probability: 16.12% | Fair line: 6.2
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.55% | Fair line: 5.7
🔴 Marseille Women – Winning probability: 66.33% | Fair line: 1.51
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Toulouse Women
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Toulouse Women x Marseille Women right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Toulouse Women x Marseille Women

Is it worth betting on Toulouse Women?

🔵 Toulouse Women: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $448.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$392.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $523.80;
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$296.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on Marseille Women?

🔴 Marseille Women: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 66.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.71. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 660 times – profiting $468.60;
  • And would lose other 340 times – losing -$340.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$128.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Toulouse Women x Marseille Women

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Toulouse Women
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Toulouse Women x Marseille Women

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Toulouse Women and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Toulouse Women.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Toulouse Women.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Toulouse Women x Marseille Women

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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