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Home » Predictions » Baka City x Big Bullets Betting tips for September 29 in Malawi Super League
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 10h00 Malawi Super League
Baka City Baka City
PREDICTION Big Bullets Wins Probability 91% 1 X 2
Big Bullets Big Bullets
ODD: @1.38 Don't miss this prediction!

Baka City x Big Bullets Betting tips for September 29 in Malawi Super League

Our betting tip for Baka City x Big Bullets, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
10:00
Baka City Baka City
7.50
X
4.00
Big Bullets Big Bullets
1.38

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Baka City x Big Bullets:

🔮 Big Bullets wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Big Bullets, you can win up to $690.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Baka City x Big Bullets:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Baka City in each of its last 4 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-100.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Big Bullets in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $567.0.
👉 Baka City did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Baka City x Big Bullets?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Baka City x Big Bullets, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Baka City x Big Bullets for the Malawi Super League – 29 of September

🏟️ Baka City X Big Bullets – Malawi Super League
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 10:00
🔵 Baka City – Winning probability: 1.03% | Fair line: 96.77
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 7.87% | Fair line: 12.71
🔴 Big Bullets – Winning probability: 91.10% | Fair line: 1.1
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.75 Baka City
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Baka City x Big Bullets is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Baka City x Big Bullets

Should you bet on Baka City?

🔵 Baka City: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $65.00;
  • And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$925.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $240.00;
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$680.00.

Should you bet on Big Bullets?

🔴 Big Bullets: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 91.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 910 times – this would give you a profit of $345.80
  • And would lose other 90 times – having a loss of -$90.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$255.80.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Baka City x Big Bullets

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.75 Baka City
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Baka City x Big Bullets

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.75 Baka City, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 Baka City.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Big Bullets.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Baka City x Big Bullets

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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