Sporting Pombal x CF Os Marialvas Betting tips for September 29 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
| 📅 29/9/2024 11:00 |
 Sporting Pombal1.93 |
X 3.40 |
CF Os Marialvas  3.35 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sporting Pombal x CF Os Marialvas:
👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Sporting Pombal x CF Os Marialvas
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Important information for your tip for Sporting Pombal x CF Os Marialvas: 👉 If you had bet $100 on CF Os Marialvas in each of its last 4 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-400. |
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Analysis from Sporting Pombal x CF Os Marialvas for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 29 of September
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🏟️ Sporting Pombal X CF Os Marialvas – Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
When the best bet on Sporting Pombal x CF Os Marialvas is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Sporting Pombal x CF Os Marialvas
Should you bet on Sporting Pombal?
🔵 Sporting Pombal: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.93. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $437.10;
- And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$92.90.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $696.00
- And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$14.00.
Is betting on CF Os Marialvas worth it?
🔴 CF Os Marialvas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 240 times – profiting $564.00;
- And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$196.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sporting Pombal x CF Os Marialvas
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Sporting Pombal
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sporting Pombal x CF Os Marialvas
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Sporting Pombal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Sporting Pombal.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sporting Pombal x CF Os Marialvas
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
