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Home Β» Predictions Β» FC Alpendorada x Uniao de Lamas Betting tips for September 29 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 11h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
FC Alpendorada FC Alpendorada
PREDICTION No tip
Uniao de Lamas Uniao de Lamas
Don't miss this prediction!

FC Alpendorada x Uniao de Lamas Betting tips for September 29 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for FC Alpendorada x Uniao de Lamas, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
11:00
FC Alpendorada FC Alpendorada
2.61
X
3.12
Uniao de Lamas Uniao de Lamas
2.40

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FC Alpendorada x Uniao de Lamas:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for FC Alpendorada x Uniao de Lamas

Some important points for the tip for FC Alpendorada x Uniao de Lamas:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Alpendorada in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $247.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Uniao de Lamas in each of its last 3 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-300.
πŸ‘‰ FC Alpendorada did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, FC Alpendorada scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ FC Alpendorada is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from FC Alpendorada x Uniao de Lamas for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 29 of September

🏟️ FC Alpendorada X Uniao de Lamas – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 11:00
πŸ”΅ FC Alpendorada – Winning probability: 27.66% | Fair line: 3.62
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.44% | Fair line: 3.29
πŸ”΄ Uniao de Lamas – Winning probability: 41.90% | Fair line: 2.39
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 FC Alpendorada
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Alpendorada x Uniao de Lamas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Alpendorada x Uniao de Lamas

Is it a good idea to bet on FC Alpendorada?

πŸ”΅ FC Alpendorada: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.61. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $450.80;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$269.20.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $636.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$64.00.

Is it worth betting on Uniao de Lamas?

πŸ”΄ Uniao de Lamas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $588.00
  • And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$8.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Alpendorada x Uniao de Lamas

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 FC Alpendorada
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Alpendorada x Uniao de Lamas

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 FC Alpendorada and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 FC Alpendorada.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 FC Alpendorada.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Alpendorada x Uniao de Lamas

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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