ES Zarzis x ES Metlaoui Betting tips for September 29 in Tunisia League 1

Our betting tip for ES Zarzis x ES Metlaoui, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 11:00

ES Zarzis 2.14

X 3.10

ES Metlaoui 3.14

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for ES Zarzis x ES Metlaoui:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for ES Zarzis x ES Metlaoui

Important information for your tip for ES Zarzis x ES Metlaoui: 👉 If you had bet $100 on ES Metlaoui in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 ES Zarzis did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, ES Zarzis scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against ES Metlaoui, ES Zarzis scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, ES Metlaoui conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, ES Zarzis conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against ES Metlaoui. 👉 ES Zarzis is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from ES Zarzis x ES Metlaoui for the Tunisia League 1 – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between ES Zarzis and ES Metlaoui.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for ES Zarzis x ES Metlaoui

Should you bet on ES Zarzis?

🔵 ES Zarzis: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.14. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $513.00
• And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$37.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $546.00
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$194.00.

Should you bet on ES Metlaoui?

🔴 ES Metlaoui: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $620.60;
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$89.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match ES Zarzis x ES Metlaoui

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 ES Zarzis
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ES Zarzis x ES Metlaoui

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 ES Zarzis, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 ES Zarzis.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 ES Zarzis.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ES Zarzis x ES Metlaoui

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.