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Home » Predictions » Rivers United x Enyimba Betting tips for September 29 in Nigeria Premier League
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 11h00 Nigeria Premier League
Rivers United Rivers United
PREDICTION Rivers United wins Probability 72% 1 X 2
Enyimba Enyimba
ODD: @1.75 Don't miss this prediction!

Rivers United x Enyimba Betting tips for September 29 in Nigeria Premier League

Our betting tip for Rivers United x Enyimba, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
11:00
Rivers United Rivers United
1.75
X
3.28
Enyimba Enyimba
4.53

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Rivers United x Enyimba:

🔮 Rivers United wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Rivers United, you can win up to $875.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Rivers United x Enyimba:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Rivers United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $144.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Rivers United scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Enyimba, Rivers United scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Rivers United x Enyimba, with Rivers United as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Rivers United is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Rivers United has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Enyimba.

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Summary

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Analysis from Rivers United x Enyimba for the Nigeria Premier League – 29 of September

🏟️ Rivers United X Enyimba – Nigeria Premier League
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 11:00
🔵 Rivers United – Winning probability: 72.04% | Fair line: 1.39
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.86% | Fair line: 4.79
🔴 Enyimba – Winning probability: 7.10% | Fair line: 14.09
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Rivers United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Rivers United x Enyimba right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Rivers United x Enyimba

Should you bet on Rivers United?

🔵 Rivers United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 72.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 720 times – having a profit of $540.00;
  • And would have lost other 280 times – with a loss of -$280.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$260.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $478.80;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$311.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on Enyimba?

🔴 Enyimba: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.53. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $247.10
  • And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$682.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Rivers United x Enyimba

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Rivers United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rivers United x Enyimba

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Rivers United, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Rivers United.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Rivers United.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rivers United x Enyimba

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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