Moncarapachense x Operario Desportivo Lagoa Betting tips for September 29 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
| 📅 29/9/2024 11:00 |
 Moncarapachense1.73 |
X 3.40 |
Operario Desportivo Lagoa  4.27 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Moncarapachense x Operario Desportivo Lagoa:
👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Moncarapachense x Operario Desportivo Lagoa
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Important information for your tip for Moncarapachense x Operario Desportivo Lagoa: 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Moncarapachense scored at least 1 goal(s). |
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Analysis from Moncarapachense x Operario Desportivo Lagoa for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 29 of September
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🏟️ Moncarapachense X Operario Desportivo Lagoa – Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Moncarapachense x Operario Desportivo Lagoa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Moncarapachense x Operario Desportivo Lagoa
Is it a good idea to bet on Moncarapachense?
🔵 Moncarapachense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.73. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 570 times – profiting $416.10;
- And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$13.90.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $648.00
- And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$82.00.
Is betting on Operario Desportivo Lagoa worth it?
🔴 Operario Desportivo Lagoa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.27. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $490.50;
- And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$359.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Moncarapachense x Operario Desportivo Lagoa
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Moncarapachense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Moncarapachense x Operario Desportivo Lagoa
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Moncarapachense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Moncarapachense.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Operario Desportivo Lagoa.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Moncarapachense x Operario Desportivo Lagoa
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
