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Home » Predictions » NK Šmartno x NK Fuzinar Betting tips for September 29 in Slovenia 3. SNL
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 11h00 Slovenia 3. SNL
NK Šmartno NK Šmartno
PREDICTION No tip
NK Fuzinar NK Fuzinar
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NK Šmartno x NK Fuzinar Betting tips for September 29 in Slovenia 3. SNL

Our betting tip for NK Šmartno x NK Fuzinar, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
11:00
NK Šmartno NK Šmartno
2.00
X
3.75
NK Fuzinar NK Fuzinar
2.95

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for NK Šmartno x NK Fuzinar:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for NK Šmartno x NK Fuzinar

The main points for the tip for NK Šmartno x NK Fuzinar:

👉 If you had bet $100 on NK Smartno in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-143.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on NK Fuzinar in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, NK Smartno scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 NK Smartno matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, NK Fuzinar conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for NK Fuzinar as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from NK Šmartno x NK Fuzinar for the Slovenia 3. SNL – 29 of September

🏟️ NK Šmartno X NK Fuzinar – Slovenia 3. SNL
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 11:00
🔵 NK Šmartno – Winning probability: 47.71% | Fair line: 2.1
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.12% | Fair line: 6.2
🔴 NK Fuzinar – Winning probability: 36.17% | Fair line: 2.77
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 NK Šmartno
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on NK Šmartno x NK Fuzinar is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for NK Šmartno x NK Fuzinar

Is it worth betting on NK Šmartno?

🔵 NK Šmartno: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – profiting $480.00;
  • And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$40.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $440.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$400.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on NK Fuzinar?

🔴 NK Fuzinar: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $702.00;
  • And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$62.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match NK Šmartno x NK Fuzinar

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 NK Šmartno
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NK Šmartno x NK Fuzinar

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 NK Šmartno, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 NK Šmartno.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NK Šmartno x NK Fuzinar

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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