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Home Β» Predictions Β» FK Spartak Kostroma x Avangard Kursk Betting tips for September 29 in Russia Division 2
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 12h00 Russia Division 2
FK Spartak Kostroma FK Spartak Kostroma
PREDICTION No tip
Avangard Kursk Avangard Kursk
Don't miss this prediction!

FK Spartak Kostroma x Avangard Kursk Betting tips for September 29 in Russia Division 2

Our betting tip for FK Spartak Kostroma x Avangard Kursk, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
12:00
FK Spartak Kostroma FK Spartak Kostroma
2.20
X
3.12
Avangard Kursk Avangard Kursk
3.05

Our algorithm has selected this tip for FK Spartak Kostroma x Avangard Kursk:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for FK Spartak Kostroma x Avangard Kursk

Some important points for the tip for FK Spartak Kostroma x Avangard Kursk:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FK Spartak Kostroma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $626.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Avangard Kursk in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, FK Spartak Kostroma scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Avangard Kursk conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ FK Spartak Kostroma is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on FK Spartak Kostroma x Avangard Kursk?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FK Spartak Kostroma x Avangard Kursk, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from FK Spartak Kostroma x Avangard Kursk for the Russia Division 2 – 29 of September

🏟️ FK Spartak Kostroma X Avangard Kursk – Russia Division 2
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 12:00
πŸ”΅ FK Spartak Kostroma – Winning probability: 45.87% | Fair line: 2.18
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.63% | Fair line: 3.62
πŸ”΄ Avangard Kursk – Winning probability: 26.50% | Fair line: 3.77
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 FK Spartak Kostroma
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on FK Spartak Kostroma x Avangard Kursk is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FK Spartak Kostroma x Avangard Kursk

Should you bet on FK Spartak Kostroma?

πŸ”΅ FK Spartak Kostroma: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – this would give you a profit of $552.00
  • And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$12.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $593.60;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$126.40.

Should you bet on Avangard Kursk?

πŸ”΄ Avangard Kursk: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $553.50;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$176.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FK Spartak Kostroma x Avangard Kursk

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 FK Spartak Kostroma
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FK Spartak Kostroma x Avangard Kursk

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 FK Spartak Kostroma and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 FK Spartak Kostroma.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 FK Spartak Kostroma.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FK Spartak Kostroma x Avangard Kursk

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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