Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
fundo 1
free bonus kenya betting
Home » Predictions » Caja Oblatos CFD x Ciervos FC Betting tips for September 29 in Mexico Segunda Division
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 14h00 Mexico Segunda Division
Caja Oblatos CFD Caja Oblatos CFD
PREDICTION Caja Oblatos CFD wins Probability 69% 1 X 2
Ciervos FC Ciervos FC
ODD: @1.69 Don't miss this prediction!

Caja Oblatos CFD x Ciervos FC Betting tips for September 29 in Mexico Segunda Division

Our betting tip for Caja Oblatos CFD x Ciervos FC, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
14:00
Caja Oblatos CFD Caja Oblatos CFD
1.69
X
3.88
Ciervos FC Ciervos FC
4.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Caja Oblatos CFD x Ciervos FC:

🔮 Caja Oblatos CFD wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Caja Oblatos CFD, you can win up to $845.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Caja Oblatos CFD x Ciervos FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Caja Oblatos CFD in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $830.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ciervos FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $315.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Caja Oblatos CFD scored at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Caja Oblatos CFD x Ciervos FC?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Caja Oblatos CFD x Ciervos FC for the Mexico Segunda Division – 29 of September

🏟️ Caja Oblatos CFD X Ciervos FC – Mexico Segunda Division
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Caja Oblatos CFD – Winning probability: 69.58% | Fair line: 1.44
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.20% | Fair line: 5.81
🔴 Ciervos FC – Winning probability: 13.22% | Fair line: 7.56
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Caja Oblatos CFD
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Caja Oblatos CFD x Ciervos FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Caja Oblatos CFD x Ciervos FC

Is it worth betting on Caja Oblatos CFD?

🔵 Caja Oblatos CFD: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 69.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.69. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 700 times – this would give you a profit of $483.00
  • And would lose other 300 times – losing -$300.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$183.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $489.60;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$340.40.

Is betting on Ciervos FC worth it?

🔴 Ciervos FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $390.00
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$480.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Caja Oblatos CFD x Ciervos FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Caja Oblatos CFD
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Caja Oblatos CFD x Ciervos FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Caja Oblatos CFD and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Caja Oblatos CFD.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Ciervos FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Caja Oblatos CFD x Ciervos FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteúdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters