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Home » Predictions » AFAD Djekanou x ASEC Mimosas Betting tips for September 29 in Ivory Coast Premier Division
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 15h00 Ivory Coast Premier Division
AFAD Djekanou AFAD Djekanou
PREDICTION ASEC Mimosas Wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
ASEC Mimosas ASEC Mimosas
ODD: @1.91 Don't miss this prediction!

AFAD Djekanou x ASEC Mimosas Betting tips for September 29 in Ivory Coast Premier Division

Our betting tip for AFAD Djekanou x ASEC Mimosas, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
15:00
AFAD Djekanou AFAD Djekanou
3.80
X
3.10
ASEC Mimosas ASEC Mimosas
1.91

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for AFAD Djekanou x ASEC Mimosas:

🔮 ASEC Mimosas wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on ASEC Mimosas, you can win up to $955.00!

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The main points for the tip for AFAD Djekanou x ASEC Mimosas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on ASEC Mimosas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-120.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, AFAD Djekanou scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, ASEC Mimosas scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, AFAD Djekanou conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against ASEC Mimosas.

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Summary

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Analysis from AFAD Djekanou x ASEC Mimosas for the Ivory Coast Premier Division – 29 of September

🏟️ AFAD Djekanou X ASEC Mimosas – Ivory Coast Premier Division
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 AFAD Djekanou – Winning probability: 13.71% | Fair line: 7.3
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.98% | Fair line: 3.85
🔴 ASEC Mimosas – Winning probability: 60.31% | Fair line: 1.66
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 AFAD Djekanou
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AFAD Djekanou and ASEC Mimosas.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AFAD Djekanou x ASEC Mimosas

Is it a good idea to bet on AFAD Djekanou?

🔵 AFAD Djekanou: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $392.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$468.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $546.00
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$194.00.

Is it worth betting on ASEC Mimosas?

🔴 ASEC Mimosas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $546.00;
  • And would lose other 400 times – having a loss of -$400.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$146.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AFAD Djekanou x ASEC Mimosas

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 AFAD Djekanou
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AFAD Djekanou x ASEC Mimosas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 AFAD Djekanou, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 AFAD Djekanou.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AFAD Djekanou x ASEC Mimosas

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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