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Home » Predictions » Others » Rosenborg 2 x Surnadal Betting tips for September 30 in Norway Division 3 Group 4
Monday, 30 September 2024, 13h00 Norway Division 3 Group 4
Rosenborg 2 Rosenborg 2
PREDICTION Rosenborg 2 wins Probability 59% 1 X 2
Surnadal Surnadal
ODD: @1.75 Don't miss this prediction!

Rosenborg 2 x Surnadal Betting tips for September 30 in Norway Division 3 Group 4

Our betting tip for Rosenborg 2 x Surnadal, Monday, 30/9/2024
📅 30/9/2024
13:00
Rosenborg 2 Rosenborg 2
1.75
X
4.20
Surnadal Surnadal
3.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Rosenborg 2 x Surnadal:

🔮 Rosenborg 2 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Rosenborg 2, you can win up to $875.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Rosenborg 2 x Surnadal:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Rosenborg 2 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-32.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Rosenborg 2 scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Rosenborg 2 matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Rosenborg 2 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Surnadal has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Rosenborg 2 x Surnadal for the Norway Division 3 Group 4 – 30 of September

🏟️ Rosenborg 2 X Surnadal – Norway Division 3 Group 4
📅 30 of September, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 Rosenborg 2 – Winning probability: 59.08% | Fair line: 1.69
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.59% | Fair line: 4.86
🔴 Surnadal – Winning probability: 20.34% | Fair line: 4.92
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Rosenborg 2
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Rosenborg 2 x Surnadal right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1191189 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Rosenborg 2 x Surnadal

Is it a good idea to bet on Rosenborg 2?

🔵 Rosenborg 2: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 59.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $442.50;
  • And would lose other 410 times – losing -$410.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$32.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $672.00;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$118.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Surnadal?

🔴 Surnadal: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $480.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$320.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Rosenborg 2 x Surnadal

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Rosenborg 2
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rosenborg 2 x Surnadal

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Rosenborg 2 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Rosenborg 2.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Surnadal.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rosenborg 2 x Surnadal

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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