Argentino Quilmes x CA Colegiales Betting tips for September 30 in Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

Our betting tip for Argentino Quilmes x CA Colegiales, Monday, 30/9/2024

📅 30/9/2024 15:00

Argentino Quilmes 2.60

X 2.80

CA Colegiales 2.75

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Argentino Quilmes x CA Colegiales:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Argentino Quilmes x CA Colegiales

Some important points for the tip for Argentino Quilmes x CA Colegiales: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Argentino Quilmes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $215.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on CA Colegiales in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $200.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Argentino Quilmes scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, CA Colegiales scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against CA Colegiales, Argentino Quilmes scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Argentino Quilmes x CA Colegiales, with Argentino Quilmes as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Argentino Quilmes conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against CA Colegiales. 👉 Argentino Quilmes is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from Argentino Quilmes x CA Colegiales for the Argentina Primera B Metropolitana – 30 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Argentino Quilmes x CA Colegiales right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1191189 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Argentino Quilmes x CA Colegiales

Should you bet on Argentino Quilmes?

🔵 Argentino Quilmes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $512.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$168.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $684.00;
• And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$64.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on CA Colegiales worth it?

🔴 CA Colegiales: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $525.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$175.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Argentino Quilmes x CA Colegiales

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Argentino Quilmes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Argentino Quilmes x CA Colegiales

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Argentino Quilmes, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Argentino Quilmes.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Argentino Quilmes x CA Colegiales

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.