Norrby IF x Tvååkers IF Betting tips for September 30 in Sweden 1.div Södra
| 📅 30/9/2024 14:00 |
 Norrby IF2.00 |
X 3.25 |
Tvååkers IF  3.30 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Norrby IF x Tvååkers IF:
🔮 Norrby IF wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Norrby IF, you can win up to $1000.00!
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The main points for the tip for Norrby IF x Tvååkers IF: 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Tvååkers IF, Norrby IF scored at least 2 goal(s). |
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Analysis from Norrby IF x Tvååkers IF for the Sweden 1.div Södra – 30 of September
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🏟️ Norrby IF X Tvååkers IF – Sweden 1.div Södra |
When the best bet on Norrby IF x Tvååkers IF is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1191189 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Norrby IF x Tvååkers IF
Should you bet on Norrby IF?
🔵 Norrby IF: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 57.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 570 times – profiting $570.00;
- And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$140.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – profiting $562.50;
- And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$187.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on Tvååkers IF?
🔴 Tvååkers IF: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $414.00;
- And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$406.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Norrby IF x Tvååkers IF
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Norrby IF
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Norrby IF x Tvååkers IF
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Norrby IF and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Norrby IF.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Norrby IF x Tvååkers IF
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
