Arsenal x PSG Betting tips for October 1 in UEFA Champions League
| 📅 1/10/2024 16:00 |
 Arsenal1.70 |
X 3.90 |
PSG  4.60 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Arsenal x PSG:
🔮 Arsenal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arsenal, you can win up to $850.00!
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The main points for the tip for Arsenal x PSG: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Arsenal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-269.0. |
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Analysis from Arsenal x PSG for the UEFA Champions League – 1 of October
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🏟️ Arsenal X PSG – UEFA Champions League |
When the best bet on Arsenal x PSG is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1192611 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Arsenal x PSG
Is betting on Arsenal worth it?
🔵 Arsenal: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 76.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 770 times – profiting $539.00;
- And would lose other 230 times – having a loss of -$230.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$309.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $348.00
- And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$532.00.
Is it worth betting on PSG?
🔴 PSG: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $396.00
- And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$494.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Arsenal x PSG
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Arsenal
⚽ Expected goals: 4.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arsenal x PSG
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Arsenal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Arsenal.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arsenal x PSG
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 4.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
