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Home » Predictions » Al-Nahda x Al Seeb Betting tips for September 30 in Oman League
Monday, 30 September 2024, 12h45 Oman League
Al-Nahda Al-Nahda
PREDICTION Al Seeb Wins Probability 53% 1 X 2
Al Seeb Al Seeb
ODD: @2 Don't miss this prediction!

Al-Nahda x Al Seeb Betting tips for September 30 in Oman League

Our betting tip for Al-Nahda x Al Seeb, Monday, 30/9/2024
📅 30/9/2024
12:45
Al-Nahda Al-Nahda
3.43
X
3.10
Al Seeb Al Seeb
2.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Al-Nahda x Al Seeb:

🔮 Al Seeb wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Al Seeb, you can win up to $1000.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Al-Nahda x Al Seeb:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Al-Nahda in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-59.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Seeb in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $29.0.
👉 Al-Nahda did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Al-Nahda scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Al Seeb scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Al-Nahda matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Al Seeb did not receive any yellow cards in the last 3 matches as the away team.
👉 Al-Nahda is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Al Seeb is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 4 wins in a row in its last road matches.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Al-Nahda x Al Seeb?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Al-Nahda x Al Seeb, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Al-Nahda x Al Seeb for the Oman League – 30 of September

🏟️ Al-Nahda X Al Seeb – Oman League
📅 30 of September, 2024 – 12:45
🔵 Al-Nahda – Winning probability: 19.95% | Fair line: 5.01
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.62% | Fair line: 3.76
🔴 Al Seeb – Winning probability: 53.42% | Fair line: 1.87
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Al-Nahda
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al-Nahda x Al Seeb right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1191189 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Al-Nahda x Al Seeb

Is betting on Al-Nahda worth it?

🔵 Al-Nahda: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.43. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $486.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$314.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $567.00
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$163.00.

Should you bet on Al Seeb?

🔴 Al Seeb: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 530 times – profiting $530.00;
  • And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$60.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Al-Nahda x Al Seeb

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Al-Nahda
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al-Nahda x Al Seeb

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Al-Nahda, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Al-Nahda.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Al Seeb.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al-Nahda x Al Seeb

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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