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Home » Predictions » Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al-Rayyan SC Betting tips for September 30 in AFC Champions League Elite
Monday, 30 September 2024, 15h00 AFC Champions League Elite
Al-Nassr Riyadh Al-Nassr Riyadh
PREDICTION Al-Nassr Riyadh wins Probability 97% 1 X 2
Al-Rayyan SC Al-Rayyan SC
ODD: @1.22 Don't miss this prediction!

Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al-Rayyan SC Betting tips for September 30 in AFC Champions League Elite

Our betting tip for Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al-Rayyan SC, Monday, 30/9/2024
📅 30/9/2024
15:00
Al-Nassr Riyadh Al-Nassr Riyadh
1.22
X
5.80
Al-Rayyan SC Al-Rayyan SC
9.29

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al-Rayyan SC:

🔮 Al-Nassr Riyadh wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Al-Nassr Riyadh, you can win up to $610.00!

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The main points for the tip for Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al-Rayyan SC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Al-Nassr Riyadh in each of its last 4 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-288.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Al-Rayyan SC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Al-Nassr Riyadh scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Al-Nassr Riyadh matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 Al-Rayyan SC matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Al-Rayyan SC conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Al-Rayyan SC as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al-Rayyan SC for the AFC Champions League Elite – 30 of September

🏟️ Al-Nassr Riyadh X Al-Rayyan SC – AFC Champions League Elite
📅 30 of September, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Al-Nassr Riyadh – Winning probability: 97.31% | Fair line: 1.03
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 1.69% | Fair line: 59.25
🔴 Al-Rayyan SC – Winning probability: 1.00% | Fair line: 99.96
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.5 Al-Nassr Riyadh
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al-Rayyan SC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1191189 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al-Rayyan SC

Should you bet on Al-Nassr Riyadh?

🔵 Al-Nassr Riyadh: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 97.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 970 times – profiting $213.40;
  • And would lose other 30 times – having a loss of -$30.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$183.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – profiting $96.00;
  • And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$884.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Al-Rayyan SC?

🔴 Al-Rayyan SC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 9.29. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – profiting $82.90;
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$907.10.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al-Rayyan SC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.5 Al-Nassr Riyadh
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al-Rayyan SC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.5 Al-Nassr Riyadh, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.75 Al-Nassr Riyadh.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.75 Al-Nassr Riyadh.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al-Rayyan SC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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