Valour FC x Pacific FC (CA) Betting tips for September 30 in Canada Premier League

Our betting tip for Valour FC x Pacific FC (CA), Monday, 30/9/2024

📅 30/9/2024 21:00

Valour FC 3.28

X 3.24

Pacific FC (CA) 2.02

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Valour FC x Pacific FC (CA):

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Valour FC x Pacific FC (CA)

Some important points for the tip for Valour FC x Pacific FC (CA): 👉 If you had bet $100 on Valour FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-240.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Pacific FC (CA) in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Valour FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Valour FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Pacific FC (CA) conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Valour FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Pacific FC (CA).

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Analysis from Valour FC x Pacific FC (CA) for the Canada Premier League – 30 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Valour FC x Pacific FC (CA) right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1192575 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Valour FC x Pacific FC (CA)

Is it worth betting on Valour FC?

🔵 Valour FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $661.20;
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$48.80.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.24. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $560.00
• And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$190.00.

Is betting on Pacific FC (CA) worth it?

🔴 Pacific FC (CA): the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 46.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.02. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $479.40;
• And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$50.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Valour FC x Pacific FC (CA)

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Valour FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Valour FC x Pacific FC (CA)

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Valour FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Valour FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Valour FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Valour FC x Pacific FC (CA)

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.