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Home » Predictions » Champions League » RB Leipzig x Juventus Betting tips for October 2 in UEFA Champions League
Wednesday, 02 October 2024, 16h00 UEFA Champions League
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
PREDICTION RB Leipzig wins Probability 49% 1 X 2
Juventus Juventus
ODD: @2.35 Don't miss this prediction!

RB Leipzig x Juventus Betting tips for October 2 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for RB Leipzig x Juventus, Wednesday, 2/10/2024
📅 2/10/2024
16:00
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
2.35
X
3.50
Juventus Juventus
2.90

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for RB Leipzig x Juventus:

🔮 RB Leipzig wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on RB Leipzig, you can win up to $1175.00!

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The main points for the tip for RB Leipzig x Juventus:

👉 If you had bet $100 on RB Leipzig in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-9.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Juventus in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-155.0.
👉 RB Leipzig did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 Juventus did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 Juventus is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 away matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Juventus has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from RB Leipzig x Juventus for the UEFA Champions League – 2 of October

🏟️ RB Leipzig X Juventus – UEFA Champions League
📅 2 of October, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 RB Leipzig – Winning probability: 49.06% | Fair line: 2.04
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.08% | Fair line: 6.22
🔴 Juventus – Winning probability: 34.86% | Fair line: 2.87
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 RB Leipzig
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for RB Leipzig x Juventus right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1193870 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for RB Leipzig x Juventus

Is it a good idea to bet on RB Leipzig?

🔵 RB Leipzig: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $661.50;
  • And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$151.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $400.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$440.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Juventus?

🔴 Juventus: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $665.00
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$15.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match RB Leipzig x Juventus

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 RB Leipzig
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for RB Leipzig x Juventus

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 RB Leipzig and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 RB Leipzig.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Juventus.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for RB Leipzig x Juventus

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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