Aston Villa x Bayern Munich Betting tips for October 2 in UEFA Champions League
| 📅 2/10/2024 16:00 |
 Aston Villa3.70 |
X 3.85 |
Bayern Munich  1.82 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Aston Villa x Bayern Munich:
🔮 Bayern Munich wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bayern Munich, you can win up to $910.00!
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Important information for your tip for Aston Villa x Bayern Munich: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Aston Villa in each of its last 4 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $135.0. |
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Analysis from Aston Villa x Bayern Munich for the UEFA Champions League – 2 of October
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🏟️ Aston Villa X Bayern Munich – UEFA Champions League |
When the best bet on Aston Villa x Bayern Munich is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1193870 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Aston Villa x Bayern Munich
Is it worth betting on Aston Villa?
🔵 Aston Villa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $432.00;
- And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$408.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $313.50
- And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$576.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on Bayern Munich?
🔴 Bayern Munich: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 72.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 730 times – profiting $598.60;
- And would lose other 270 times – having a loss of -$270.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$328.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Aston Villa x Bayern Munich
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Aston Villa
⚽ Expected goals: 4.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aston Villa x Bayern Munich
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Aston Villa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Aston Villa.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Bayern Munich.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aston Villa x Bayern Munich
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 4.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.
