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Home » Predictions » Others » LDU Quito x El Nacional Betting tips for October 2 in Ecuador Cup
Wednesday, 02 October 2024, 19h00 Ecuador Cup
LDU Quito LDU Quito
PREDICTION LDU Quito wins Probability 86% 1 X 2
El Nacional El Nacional
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction!

LDU Quito x El Nacional Betting tips for October 2 in Ecuador Cup

Our betting tip for LDU Quito x El Nacional, Wednesday, 2/10/2024
📅 2/10/2024
19:00
LDU Quito LDU Quito
1.50
X
3.65
El Nacional El Nacional
6.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for LDU Quito x El Nacional:

🔮 LDU Quito wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on LDU Quito, you can win up to $750.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for LDU Quito x El Nacional:

👉 If you had bet $100 on LDU Quito in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-55.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on El Nacional in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $411.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, LDU Quito scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between LDU Quito x El Nacional, with LDU Quito as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, El Nacional conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 LDU Quito has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against El Nacional playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on LDU Quito x El Nacional?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on LDU Quito x El Nacional, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from LDU Quito x El Nacional for the Ecuador Cup – 2 of October

🏟️ LDU Quito X El Nacional – Ecuador Cup
📅 2 of October, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 LDU Quito – Winning probability: 86.81% | Fair line: 1.15
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.00% | Fair line: 12.5
🔴 El Nacional – Winning probability: 5.19% | Fair line: 19.26
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 LDU Quito
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between LDU Quito and El Nacional.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1193870 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for LDU Quito x El Nacional

Should you bet on LDU Quito?

🔵 LDU Quito: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 86.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 870 times – profiting $435.00;
  • And would have lost other 130 times – with a loss of -$130.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$305.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $212.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$708.00.

Is betting on El Nacional worth it?

🔴 El Nacional: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $250.00
  • And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$700.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match LDU Quito x El Nacional

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 LDU Quito
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for LDU Quito x El Nacional

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 LDU Quito and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 LDU Quito.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for LDU Quito x El Nacional

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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