ASD Fanfulla x AC Vigasio Betting tips for October 2 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 2/10/2024 11:00 |
 ASD Fanfulla2.15 |
X 3.09 |
AC Vigasio  3.01 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for ASD Fanfulla x AC Vigasio:
👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for ASD Fanfulla x AC Vigasio
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Some important points for the tip for ASD Fanfulla x AC Vigasio: 👉 If you had bet $100 on ASD Fanfulla in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-281.0. |
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Analysis from ASD Fanfulla x AC Vigasio for the Italy Serie D – 2 of October
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🏟️ ASD Fanfulla X AC Vigasio – Italy Serie D |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for ASD Fanfulla x AC Vigasio right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1193870 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for ASD Fanfulla x AC Vigasio
Is betting on ASD Fanfulla worth it?
🔵 ASD Fanfulla: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $517.50
- And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$32.50.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.09. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $606.10;
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$103.90.
Is it worth betting on AC Vigasio?
🔴 AC Vigasio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.01. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $522.60;
- And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$217.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match ASD Fanfulla x AC Vigasio
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 ASD Fanfulla
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ASD Fanfulla x AC Vigasio
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 ASD Fanfulla and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 ASD Fanfulla.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ASD Fanfulla x AC Vigasio
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
