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Home » Predictions » Others » Hamburg SV II x SV Todesfelde Betting tips for October 3 in Germany Regionalliga North
Thursday, 03 October 2024, 09h00 Germany Regionalliga North
Hamburg SV II Hamburg SV II
PREDICTION Hamburg SV II wins Probability 76% 1 X 2
SV Todesfelde SV Todesfelde
ODD: @1.89 Don't miss this prediction!

Hamburg SV II x SV Todesfelde Betting tips for October 3 in Germany Regionalliga North

Our betting tip for Hamburg SV II x SV Todesfelde, Thursday, 3/10/2024
📅 3/10/2024
09:00
Hamburg SV II Hamburg SV II
1.89
X
3.72
SV Todesfelde SV Todesfelde
3.22

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Hamburg SV II x SV Todesfelde:

🔮 Hamburg SV II wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Hamburg SV II, you can win up to $945.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Hamburg SV II x SV Todesfelde:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Hamburg SV II in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $70.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on SV Todesfelde in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $525.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Hamburg SV II scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, SV Todesfelde scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Hamburg SV II matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 SV Todesfelde matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Hamburg SV II x SV Todesfelde for the Germany Regionalliga North – 3 of October

🏟️ Hamburg SV II X SV Todesfelde – Germany Regionalliga North
📅 3 of October, 2024 – 09:00
🔵 Hamburg SV II – Winning probability: 76.29% | Fair line: 1.31
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.35% | Fair line: 9.66
🔴 SV Todesfelde – Winning probability: 13.36% | Fair line: 7.49
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Hamburg SV II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Hamburg SV II and SV Todesfelde.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1194161 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Hamburg SV II x SV Todesfelde

Is it a good idea to bet on Hamburg SV II?

🔵 Hamburg SV II: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 76.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.89. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 760 times – this would give you a profit of $676.40
  • And would lose other 240 times – having a loss of -$240.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$436.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $272.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$628.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on SV Todesfelde?

🔴 SV Todesfelde: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $288.60
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$581.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Hamburg SV II x SV Todesfelde

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Hamburg SV II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hamburg SV II x SV Todesfelde

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Hamburg SV II, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Hamburg SV II.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Hamburg SV II.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hamburg SV II x SV Todesfelde

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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