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Home » Predictions » Europa League » Maccabi Tel Aviv x Midtjylland Betting tips for October 3 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 03 October 2024, 13h45 UEFA Europa League
Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv
PREDICTION Maccabi Tel Aviv wins Probability 35% 1 X 2
Midtjylland Midtjylland
ODD: @2.86 Don't miss this prediction!

Maccabi Tel Aviv x Midtjylland Betting tips for October 3 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Maccabi Tel Aviv x Midtjylland, Thursday, 3/10/2024
📅 3/10/2024
13:45
Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.86
X
3.50
Midtjylland Midtjylland
2.34

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Maccabi Tel Aviv x Midtjylland:

🔮 Maccabi Tel Aviv wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Maccabi Tel Aviv, you can win up to $1430.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Maccabi Tel Aviv x Midtjylland:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Maccabi Tel Aviv in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $69.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Midtjylland in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-95.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Maccabi Tel Aviv scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Midtjylland scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Midtjylland matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Midtjylland conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Maccabi Tel Aviv x Midtjylland?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Maccabi Tel Aviv x Midtjylland:

Analysis from Maccabi Tel Aviv x Midtjylland for the UEFA Europa League – 3 of October

🏟️ Maccabi Tel Aviv X Midtjylland – UEFA Europa League
📅 3 of October, 2024 – 13:45
🔵 Maccabi Tel Aviv – Winning probability: 35.21% | Fair line: 2.84
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.63% | Fair line: 6.01
🔴 Midtjylland – Winning probability: 48.16% | Fair line: 2.08
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Maccabi Tel Aviv
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Maccabi Tel Aviv x Midtjylland right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1194161 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Maccabi Tel Aviv x Midtjylland

Is betting on Maccabi Tel Aviv worth it?

🔵 Maccabi Tel Aviv: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.86. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $651.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$1.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $425.00;
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$405.00.

Is it worth betting on Midtjylland?

🔴 Midtjylland: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.34. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $643.20;
  • And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$123.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Maccabi Tel Aviv x Midtjylland

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Maccabi Tel Aviv
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Maccabi Tel Aviv x Midtjylland

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Maccabi Tel Aviv, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Maccabi Tel Aviv.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Maccabi Tel Aviv.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Maccabi Tel Aviv x Midtjylland

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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