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Home » Predictions » Others » Shamrock Rovers x Apoel Nicosia Betting tips for October 3 in UEFA Conference League
Thursday, 03 October 2024, 16h00 UEFA Conference League
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
PREDICTION Apoel Nicosia Wins Probability 97% 1 X 2
Apoel Nicosia Apoel Nicosia
ODD: @1.98 Don't miss this prediction!

Shamrock Rovers x Apoel Nicosia Betting tips for October 3 in UEFA Conference League

Our betting tip for Shamrock Rovers x Apoel Nicosia, Thursday, 3/10/2024
📅 3/10/2024
16:00
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
3.60
X
3.30
Apoel Nicosia Apoel Nicosia
1.98

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Shamrock Rovers x Apoel Nicosia:

🔮 Apoel Nicosia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Apoel Nicosia, you can win up to $990.00!

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The main points for the tip for Shamrock Rovers x Apoel Nicosia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Shamrock Rovers in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-207.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Apoel Nicosia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-219.0.
👉 Apoel Nicosia did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Apoel Nicosia has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Shamrock Rovers x Apoel Nicosia for the UEFA Conference League – 3 of October

🏟️ Shamrock Rovers X Apoel Nicosia – UEFA Conference League
📅 3 of October, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Shamrock Rovers – Winning probability: 0.33% | Fair line: 305.91
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 2.26% | Fair line: 44.25
🔴 Apoel Nicosia – Winning probability: 97.41% | Fair line: 1.03
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Shamrock Rovers
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Shamrock Rovers x Apoel Nicosia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1194241 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Shamrock Rovers x Apoel Nicosia

Is it a good idea to bet on Shamrock Rovers?

🔵 Shamrock Rovers: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $46.00
  • And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$934.00.

Is betting on Apoel Nicosia worth it?

🔴 Apoel Nicosia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 97.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.98. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 970 times – this would give you a profit of $950.60
  • And would have lost other 30 times – with a loss of -$30.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$920.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Shamrock Rovers x Apoel Nicosia

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Shamrock Rovers
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Shamrock Rovers x Apoel Nicosia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Shamrock Rovers and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Shamrock Rovers.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Apoel Nicosia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Shamrock Rovers x Apoel Nicosia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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