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Home » Predictions » Europa League » Union Saint Gilloise x Bodo/Glimt Betting tips for October 3 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 03 October 2024, 16h00 UEFA Europa League
Union Saint Gilloise Union Saint Gilloise
PREDICTION Union Saint Gilloise wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt
ODD: @1.94 Don't miss this prediction!

Union Saint Gilloise x Bodo/Glimt Betting tips for October 3 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Union Saint Gilloise x Bodo/Glimt, Thursday, 3/10/2024
📅 3/10/2024
16:00
Union Saint Gilloise Union Saint Gilloise
1.94
X
3.70
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt
3.64

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Union Saint Gilloise x Bodo/Glimt:

🔮 Union Saint Gilloise wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Union Saint Gilloise, you can win up to $970.00!

🔮 Bodo/Glimt wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bodo/Glimt, you can win up to $1820.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Union Saint Gilloise x Bodo/Glimt:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Saint Gilloise in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-61.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bodo/Glimt in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-103.0.
👉 Union Saint Gilloise did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Union Saint Gilloise x Bodo/Glimt?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Union Saint Gilloise x Bodo/Glimt, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Union Saint Gilloise x Bodo/Glimt for the UEFA Europa League – 3 of October

🏟️ Union Saint Gilloise X Bodo/Glimt – UEFA Europa League
📅 3 of October, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Union Saint Gilloise – Winning probability: 60.13% | Fair line: 1.66
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.93% | Fair line: 9.15
🔴 Bodo/Glimt – Winning probability: 28.93% | Fair line: 3.46
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Union Saint Gilloise
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Union Saint Gilloise and Bodo/Glimt.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1194241 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Union Saint Gilloise x Bodo/Glimt

Is it worth betting on Union Saint Gilloise?

🔵 Union Saint Gilloise: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 60.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.94. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 600 times – this would give you a profit of $564.00
  • And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$164.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $297.00;
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$593.00.

Should you bet on Bodo/Glimt?

🔴 Bodo/Glimt: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.64. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $765.60
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$55.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Union Saint Gilloise x Bodo/Glimt

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Union Saint Gilloise
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Union Saint Gilloise x Bodo/Glimt

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Union Saint Gilloise, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Union Saint Gilloise.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Bodo/Glimt.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Union Saint Gilloise x Bodo/Glimt

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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