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Home » Predictions » Europa League » FC Twente x Fenerbahce Betting tips for October 3 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 03 October 2024, 16h00 UEFA Europa League
FC Twente FC Twente
PREDICTION FC Twente wins Probability 41% 1 X 2
Fenerbahce Fenerbahce
ODD: @2.7 Don't miss this prediction!

FC Twente x Fenerbahce Betting tips for October 3 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for FC Twente x Fenerbahce, Thursday, 3/10/2024
📅 3/10/2024
16:00
FC Twente FC Twente
2.70
X
3.50
Fenerbahce Fenerbahce
2.45

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FC Twente x Fenerbahce:

🔮 FC Twente wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Twente, you can win up to $1350.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for FC Twente x Fenerbahce:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Twente in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fenerbahce in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-43.0.
👉 Fenerbahce did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, FC Twente scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Fenerbahce scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 FC Twente matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Fenerbahce has not lost any of them.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FC Twente x Fenerbahce?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FC Twente x Fenerbahce, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from FC Twente x Fenerbahce for the UEFA Europa League – 3 of October

🏟️ FC Twente X Fenerbahce – UEFA Europa League
📅 3 of October, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 FC Twente – Winning probability: 41.74% | Fair line: 2.4
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.11% | Fair line: 6.62
🔴 Fenerbahce – Winning probability: 43.15% | Fair line: 2.32
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 FC Twente
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Twente and Fenerbahce.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1194241 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Twente x Fenerbahce

Is betting on FC Twente worth it?

🔵 FC Twente: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $714.00
  • And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$134.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $375.00;
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$475.00.

Is it worth betting on Fenerbahce?

🔴 Fenerbahce: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – profiting $623.50;
  • And would have lost other 570 times – with a loss of -$570.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$53.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match FC Twente x Fenerbahce

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 FC Twente
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Twente x Fenerbahce

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 FC Twente and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 FC Twente.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 FC Twente.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Twente x Fenerbahce

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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