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Home » Predictions » Europa League » Viktoria Plzen x Ludogorets Razgrad Betting tips for October 3 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 03 October 2024, 16h00 UEFA Europa League
Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen
PREDICTION Ludogorets Razgrad Wins Probability 28% 1 X 2
Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad
ODD: @4.64 Don't miss this prediction!

Viktoria Plzen x Ludogorets Razgrad Betting tips for October 3 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Viktoria Plzen x Ludogorets Razgrad, Thursday, 3/10/2024
📅 3/10/2024
16:00
Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen
1.73
X
3.75
Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad
4.64

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Viktoria Plzen x Ludogorets Razgrad:

🔮 Viktoria Plzen wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Viktoria Plzen, you can win up to $865.00!

🔮 Ludogorets Razgrad wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ludogorets Razgrad, you can win up to $2320.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Viktoria Plzen x Ludogorets Razgrad:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Viktoria Plzen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $55.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ludogorets Razgrad in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $560.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Viktoria Plzen scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Ludogorets Razgrad scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Ludogorets Razgrad is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 5 wins in a row in its last road matches.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Viktoria Plzen x Ludogorets Razgrad?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Viktoria Plzen x Ludogorets Razgrad, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Viktoria Plzen x Ludogorets Razgrad for the UEFA Europa League – 3 of October

🏟️ Viktoria Plzen X Ludogorets Razgrad – UEFA Europa League
📅 3 of October, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Viktoria Plzen – Winning probability: 59.75% | Fair line: 1.67
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.22% | Fair line: 8.18
🔴 Ludogorets Razgrad – Winning probability: 28.03% | Fair line: 3.57
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Viktoria Plzen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Viktoria Plzen and Ludogorets Razgrad.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1194241 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Viktoria Plzen x Ludogorets Razgrad

Is betting on Viktoria Plzen worth it?

🔵 Viktoria Plzen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 59.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.73. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $438.00;
  • And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$38.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $330.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$550.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Ludogorets Razgrad?

🔴 Ludogorets Razgrad: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.64. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $1019.20
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$299.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Viktoria Plzen x Ludogorets Razgrad

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Viktoria Plzen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Viktoria Plzen x Ludogorets Razgrad

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Viktoria Plzen and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Viktoria Plzen.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Ludogorets Razgrad.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Viktoria Plzen x Ludogorets Razgrad

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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