Independiente Santa Fe x Deportivo Pereira Betting tips for October 3 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Independiente Santa Fe x Deportivo Pereira, Thursday, 3/10/2024

📅 3/10/2024 22:10

Independiente Santa Fe 1.74

X 3.15

Deportivo Pereira 5.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Independiente Santa Fe x Deportivo Pereira:

🔮 Independiente Santa Fe wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Independiente Santa Fe, you can win up to $870.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Independiente Santa Fe x Deportivo Pereira: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Santa Fe in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $139.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Pereira in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-175.0. 👉 In the last 5 Deportivo Pereira matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe x Deportivo Pereira, with Independiente Santa Fe as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Deportivo Pereira conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Independiente Santa Fe has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Deportivo Pereira playing at home.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Independiente Santa Fe x Deportivo Pereira?

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Analysis from Independiente Santa Fe x Deportivo Pereira for the Colombia Primera A – 3 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Independiente Santa Fe and Deportivo Pereira.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1194241 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Independiente Santa Fe x Deportivo Pereira

Is it worth betting on Independiente Santa Fe?

🔵 Independiente Santa Fe: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.74. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 620 times – this would give you a profit of $458.80
• And would lose other 380 times – having a loss of -$380.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$78.80.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $602.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$118.00.

Is betting on Deportivo Pereira worth it?

🔴 Deportivo Pereira: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $400.00;
• And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$500.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Independiente Santa Fe x Deportivo Pereira

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Independiente Santa Fe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Independiente Santa Fe x Deportivo Pereira

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Independiente Santa Fe and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Independiente Santa Fe.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Deportivo Pereira.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Independiente Santa Fe x Deportivo Pereira

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.