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Home » Predictions » Others » Deportivo Cali x Millonarios Betting tips for October 4 in Colombia Primera A
Friday, 04 October 2024, 21h40 Colombia Primera A
Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali
PREDICTION Millonarios Wins Probability 41% 1 X 2
Millonarios Millonarios
ODD: @2.54 Don't miss this prediction!

Deportivo Cali x Millonarios Betting tips for October 4 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Deportivo Cali x Millonarios, Friday, 4/10/2024
📅 4/10/2024
21:40
Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali
2.80
X
2.90
Millonarios Millonarios
2.54

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Deportivo Cali x Millonarios:

🔮 Millonarios wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Millonarios, you can win up to $1270.00!

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Important information for your tip for Deportivo Cali x Millonarios:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Cali in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-9.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Millonarios in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Millonarios scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Deportivo Cali conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Millonarios conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Deportivo Cali x Millonarios for the Colombia Primera A – 4 of October

🏟️ Deportivo Cali X Millonarios – Colombia Primera A
📅 4 of October, 2024 – 21:40
🔵 Deportivo Cali – Winning probability: 26.78% | Fair line: 3.73
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.96% | Fair line: 3.13
🔴 Millonarios – Winning probability: 41.27% | Fair line: 2.42
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Deportivo Cali
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Deportivo Cali x Millonarios right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1194241 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportivo Cali x Millonarios

Is it a good idea to bet on Deportivo Cali?

🔵 Deportivo Cali: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $486.00
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$244.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $608.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$72.00.

Is betting on Millonarios worth it?

🔴 Millonarios: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $631.40;
  • And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$41.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Cali x Millonarios

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Deportivo Cali
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Cali x Millonarios

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Deportivo Cali and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Deportivo Cali.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Millonarios.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Cali x Millonarios

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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