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Home » Predictions » Others » Venados FC x Correcaminos Betting tips for October 4 in Mexico Liga de Expansion
Friday, 04 October 2024, 22h00 Mexico Liga de Expansion
Venados FC Venados FC
PREDICTION Venados FC wins Probability 86% 1 X 2
Correcaminos Correcaminos
ODD: @1.36 Don't miss this prediction!

Venados FC x Correcaminos Betting tips for October 4 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Venados FC x Correcaminos, Friday, 4/10/2024
📅 4/10/2024
22:00
Venados FC Venados FC
1.36
X
4.60
Correcaminos Correcaminos
6.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Venados FC x Correcaminos:

🔮 Venados FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Venados FC, you can win up to $680.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Venados FC x Correcaminos:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Venados FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-129.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Correcaminos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Venados FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Correcaminos, Venados FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Correcaminos matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Venados FC x Correcaminos, with Venados FC as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Correcaminos conceded at least 3 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Venados FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Correcaminos.
👉 It is not a good time for Correcaminos as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Venados FC x Correcaminos?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Venados FC x Correcaminos:

Analysis from Venados FC x Correcaminos for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 4 of October

🏟️ Venados FC X Correcaminos – Mexico Liga de Expansion
📅 4 of October, 2024 – 22:00
🔵 Venados FC – Winning probability: 86.56% | Fair line: 1.16
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.66% | Fair line: 10.35
🔴 Correcaminos – Winning probability: 3.78% | Fair line: 26.42
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Venados FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Venados FC x Correcaminos is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1194241 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Venados FC x Correcaminos

Is betting on Venados FC worth it?

🔵 Venados FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 86.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 870 times – having a profit of $313.20;
  • And would lose other 130 times – having a loss of -$130.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$183.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $360.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$540.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Correcaminos?

🔴 Correcaminos: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $220.00
  • And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$740.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Venados FC x Correcaminos

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Venados FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Venados FC x Correcaminos

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Venados FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Venados FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Correcaminos.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Venados FC x Correcaminos

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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