Everton x Newcastle Betting tips for October 5 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Everton x Newcastle, Saturday, 5/10/2024

📅 5/10/2024 13:30

Everton 3.35

X 3.65

Newcastle 2.03

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Everton x Newcastle:

🔮 Newcastle wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Newcastle, you can win up to $1015.00!

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The main points for the tip for Everton x Newcastle: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Everton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-113.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Newcastle in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-300.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Everton scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Newcastle scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Newcastle, Everton scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Everton conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Newcastle conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Everton x Newcastle?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Everton x Newcastle for the England Premier League – 5 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Everton and Newcastle.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1194677 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Everton x Newcastle

Is it a good idea to bet on Everton?

🔵 Everton: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $564.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$196.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $768.50
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$58.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on Newcastle?

🔴 Newcastle: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.03. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $494.40;
• And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$25.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Everton x Newcastle

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Everton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Everton x Newcastle

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Everton, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Everton.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Everton.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Everton x Newcastle

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.