St Pauli x Mainz Betting tips for October 5 in Germany Bundesliga I
| 📅 5/10/2024 13:30 |
 St Pauli2.60 |
X 3.40 |
Mainz  2.63 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for St Pauli x Mainz:
🔮 Mainz wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mainz, you can win up to $1315.00!
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Some important points for the tip for St Pauli x Mainz: 👉 If you had bet $100 on St Pauli in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $386.0. |
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Analysis from St Pauli x Mainz for the Germany Bundesliga I – 5 of October
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🏟️ St Pauli X Mainz – Germany Bundesliga I |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for St Pauli x Mainz right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1194677 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for St Pauli x Mainz
Is betting on St Pauli worth it?
🔵 St Pauli: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $16.00
- And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$974.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $216.00;
- And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$694.00.
Is betting on Mainz worth it?
🔴 Mainz: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 89.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.63. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 900 times – profiting $1467.00;
- And would lose other 100 times – losing -$100.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$1367.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match St Pauli x Mainz
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 St Pauli
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for St Pauli x Mainz
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.25 St Pauli and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 St Pauli.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Mainz.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for St Pauli x Mainz
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
