Lille x Toulouse Betting tips for October 5 in France Ligue 1
| 📅 5/10/2024 14:00 |
 Lille1.71 |
X 3.90 |
Toulouse  4.60 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Lille x Toulouse:
🔮 Lille wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lille, you can win up to $855.00!
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The main points for the tip for Lille x Toulouse: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lille in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $321.0. |
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Analysis from Lille x Toulouse for the France Ligue 1 – 5 of October
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🏟️ Lille X Toulouse – France Ligue 1 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lille and Toulouse.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1194677 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Lille x Toulouse
Should you bet on Lille?
🔵 Lille: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 65.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.71. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 660 times – this would give you a profit of $468.60
- And would lose other 340 times – having a loss of -$340.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$128.60.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – profiting $522.00;
- And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$298.00.
Should you bet on Toulouse?
🔴 Toulouse: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $612.00
- And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$218.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Lille x Toulouse
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lille
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lille x Toulouse
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Lille and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Lille.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Toulouse.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lille x Toulouse
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
