EC Bahia x Flamengo Betting tips for October 5 in Brazil Serie A
| 📅 5/10/2024 19:00 |
 EC Bahia2.50 |
X 3.22 |
Flamengo  2.75 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for EC Bahia x Flamengo:
🔮 EC Bahia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on EC Bahia, you can win up to $1250.00!
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Some important points for the tip for EC Bahia x Flamengo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on EC Bahia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $17.0. |
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Analysis from EC Bahia x Flamengo for the Brazil Serie A – 5 of October
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🏟️ EC Bahia X Flamengo – Brazil Serie A |
When the best bet on EC Bahia x Flamengo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1194677 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for EC Bahia x Flamengo
Should you bet on EC Bahia?
🔵 EC Bahia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 590 times – profiting $885.00;
- And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$475.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $421.80;
- And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$388.20.
Should you bet on Flamengo?
🔴 Flamengo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – profiting $385.00;
- And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$395.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match EC Bahia x Flamengo
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 EC Bahia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for EC Bahia x Flamengo
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 EC Bahia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 EC Bahia.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 EC Bahia.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for EC Bahia x Flamengo
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
